The cryptocurrency industry has experienced numerous high-value security breaches over recent years, with notable incidents targeting exchanges, bridges, lending platforms, and DeFi protocols. Historical losses from such breaches frequently exceed $100 million, impacting users and affecting broader market confidence. This prediction market evaluates the likelihood of another major cryptocurrency security incident resulting in losses exceeding $100 million by December 31, 2026. The market currently reflects 100% odds toward 'Yes,' indicating strong consensus that such a breach is highly probable within this timeframe. This assessment is informed by historical frequency of major incidents, expanding crypto ecosystem complexity, and evolving attack surfaces across protocols. Resolution criteria are clearly defined: verified reports from blockchain security firms, independent audits, or official project announcements must confirm losses exceeding the $100 million threshold. Traders and risk managers use this market to assess tail risks within crypto security infrastructure and to evaluate consensus on the threat landscape. The current 100% market price suggests participants perceive major cryptocurrency security breaches as highly probable during 2026, reflecting both the historical frequency of past incidents and ongoing vulnerabilities across digital asset platforms and protocols.