FISA Section 702 authorizes the U.S. government to conduct surveillance on non-U.S. citizens located overseas without individual warrants. Enacted in 2008 as part of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act amendments, it has become a foundational tool for intelligence agencies and requires periodic congressional reauthorization due to sunset provisions. The April 19, 2026 deadline marks the current expiration date. At 70% YES odds, prediction market participants indicate an expectation that Congress will vote to reauthorize the authority before the deadline. Historically, 702 has received bipartisan support in intelligence and oversight committees, though it has faced criticism from privacy advocates and civil liberties organizations concerned about warrantless surveillance. The market reflects traders' assessment of legislative momentum: Congress has consistently reauthorized 702 in past cycles, though reauthorization can involve negotiations over privacy protections and reporting requirements. The current odds suggest the market assigns approximately 30% probability to either failure to pass or legislative stalling past the April 19 cutoff. Resolution occurs when either Congress votes reauthorization into law and the President signs it before April 19, resolving YES to 1.0, or the deadline passes without reauthorization, resolving NO to 1.0.