The Iran-Israel-US tensions represent one of the most significant geopolitical flashpoints in the world today. Following years of escalating rhetoric, military posturing, and proxy conflicts, this prediction market examines whether hostilities involving Iran, Israel, and the United States will substantially end or de-escalate by December 31st. The current 98% YES odds suggest traders believe the conflict will not escalate into large-scale military operations, either through diplomatic breakthrough, negotiated settlement, or gradual de-escalation over the coming period. This confidence reflects broader market expectations that continued international mediation efforts, economic constraints on all parties, and mutual deterrence will prevent open warfare. Recent diplomatic signals indicate some viable paths toward de-escalation remain available, despite persistent underlying tensions across the region. The high trading volume and liquidity in this market reflect the significant geopolitical interest and stakes involved in the outcome. The market has maintained these elevated YES odds throughout the trading period, indicating consistent trader confidence in avoiding major conflict escalation. Resolution will be determined by assessing whether active military hostilities have been substantively reduced and regional tensions have meaningfully de-escalated by the specified end date.