Jerome Powell has served as Federal Reserve Chair since February 2018, appointed by President Trump, with his current term scheduled to end on June 19, 2026. This prediction market specifically addresses whether Powell will be removed from or voluntarily resign from his position before June 30, 2026—providing a narrow but significant window around the official end of his tenure. At current market odds of 80% YES, traders are heavily pricing in that Powell will exit the role during this timeframe. This high conviction reflects recent political developments, congressional statements, media coverage, and ongoing policy debates about Federal Reserve leadership direction. The market is resolvable through any credible announcement of Powell's departure, whether forced or voluntary, or through the passage of June 30, 2026. A NO resolution requires Powell to remain in the official role through June 30. The pricing structure indicates that a substantial portion of market participants believe Powell's tenure will end ahead of or at his scheduled date. Odds movements have likely tracked real-world events including policy announcements, legislative actions, and political rhetoric regarding Fed direction. This prediction market enables traders to quantify and position on one of the most consequential uncertainties in U.S. monetary policy and economic governance.