Tim Cook has served as Apple CEO since August 2011, following Steve Jobs' resignation. This prediction market tracks whether Cook will step down from the CEO role before December 31, 2026. The 26% current odds suggest traders perceive a relatively low probability of immediate leadership change at Apple. Cook has maintained significant operational and strategic control over the company's direction and product development pipeline, though Apple faces ongoing investor and analyst scrutiny regarding innovation capabilities, particularly in artificial intelligence and emerging consumer technologies. Market resolution is straightforward: any official public announcement of Cook's departure, retirement, or forced resignation from the CEO position counts as a YES resolution, regardless of stated reason—whether voluntary, health-related, board-initiated, or circumstances-driven. The odds have remained stable over recent periods given the absence of public signals indicating imminent change, though major negative business developments or significant investor activism could shift sentiment. Traders are essentially assessing the probability of unexpected executive transition against the continuity and organizational stability that Cook's tenure has provided.