The question of whether President Trump will announce an end to military operations against Iran by April 21, 2026, reflects ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This market tracks the likelihood of a formal declaration from Trump regarding cessation of active military engagement with Iran within the specified timeframe. The resolution criteria hinge on an official announcement—whether via direct statement, press release, or formal diplomatic communication—that explicitly conveys the end of such operations. At current odds of 35% for YES, the market reflects skepticism about such an announcement occurring within the April 21 deadline. This pricing suggests traders view military de-escalation or formal announcement of operation cessation as a lower-probability event in the near term. The 24-hour trading volume of $310,804 indicates significant market interest in this geopolitical outcome, with $70,083 in total liquidity providing reasonable depth for traders. Recent price movement shows volatility typical of politically sensitive markets, with odds fluctuating based on news developments and diplomatic signals. The market remains open for trading until the resolution deadline, allowing participants to adjust positions as new information emerges regarding U.S.-Iran military dynamics.