This politics prediction market tracks real-time trader expectations on the question: "US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?". At the current price, the market prices YES at 4 cents and NO at 96 cents, implying a 4% probability of YES resolving positively. The market resolves on 2026-05-11. Traders use prediction markets like this to hedge exposure to real-world events, express directional views, or simply to see aggregated crowd expectations in probability form. Prices move in response to news, fundamental data, and on-chain trading activity. PolymarketTrade provides a builder-attribution interface to the Polymarket central limit order book (CLOB) on Polygon, with live updated pricing every few seconds and aggregate liquidity signals. This page summarizes current market state for search engines and news readers; for live trading, follow the link to the full market page where orders can be placed directly.