The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions shape markets globally. This prediction market tracks whether the Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark interest rate eight times during the calendar year 2026. Eight cuts over twelve months would mean roughly one reduction every 1.5 months—a pace that would indicate severe economic deterioration or a dramatic policy shift from the Fed's current inflation-fighting stance. The market currently reflects near-zero consensus for this outcome, suggesting traders believe the Federal Reserve will either maintain current rates or implement fewer cuts during 2026. Resolution depends on the official Fed Funds Target Range announcements made throughout the year; each 0.25% reduction counts as one cut. Market prices shift dynamically based on monthly inflation data releases, employment reports, and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) communications. Active traders monitor Fed funds futures contracts, Treasury yields, and economic indicators to reassess their positions continuously. This market becomes fully resolvable and settled on December 31, 2026, when the final FOMC policy decision of the year is publicly announced.