The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints, serving as the passage for roughly one-third of global seaborne traded oil. This prediction market tracks the number of ships transiting the strait during the week of April 13–19, 2026, with a threshold of 80 or more vessels. The market's current odds of 48% for YES suggest relatively balanced expectations between participants—neither expecting an unusual surge in traffic nor a significant disruption to normal operations. Ships transiting include tankers, bulk carriers, container ships, and general cargo vessels moving to and from Middle Eastern and South Asian ports, with significant volumes bound for refineries and energy markets globally. The resolution will be determined by tracking actual vessel movements through the strait during this seven-day window, using reliable maritime data sources and vessel traffic information. Recent shipping patterns have shown typical weekly transits in the 70–85 range, depending on seasonal demand, geopolitical events, and broader economic activity. The current market pricing reflects underlying uncertainty about whether the coming week will exceed or fall short of the 80-ship threshold. Understanding shipping flows through Hormuz helps traders assess global energy supply chain health and regional stability during a period of ongoing geopolitical complexity.