António Guterres has served as United Nations Secretary-General since 2017 and is currently in his second term, which runs through 2026. The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded annually by the Norwegian Nobel Committee to individuals or organizations who have made outstanding contributions to peace. Guterres has been a vocal advocate for international cooperation on climate change, conflict resolution, and sustainable development, but the prize has historically favored grassroots activists, human rights defenders, and leaders with direct involvement in peace negotiations. The current 1% odds in this prediction market reflect the view that Guterres faces significant competition from other global figures and organizations working on peace-related causes. Past recipients have included climate activists, former presidents, and organizations like the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons. The odds trajectory suggests market participants view his chances as quite slim relative to other potential laureates. The market will resolve based on the official Nobel Peace Prize announcement, typically made in October.