Connect wallet to trade · No wallet? Passkey login available · Free alerts at /subscribe
The 2026 Indian Premier League tournament features ten franchises competing across a six-week Twenty20 cricket competition, with the champion crowned by May 31st. Delhi Capitals is one of the established teams in the league. The current prediction market price of 0% for a Delhi Capitals championship signals extremely strong market conviction that the franchise will not win the title. This extreme pricing typically reflects either mathematical elimination—when a team has already lost enough games that advancing to the final is no longer mathematically possible—or early-tournament assessments of severe competitive disadvantage relative to other franchises. The resolution of this market is straightforward: when the 2026 IPL concludes with a crowned champion, it will be definitively clear whether Delhi Capitals won or did not. The near-zero odds reflect the current standings, remaining fixtures, and trader assessments of championship probability. The modest liquidity at $4,399 indicates relatively limited trading depth at this extreme price level, which is typical when the market shows strong consensus on an outcome.
What factors could move this market?
Delhi Capitals has competed in the Indian Premier League since 2012, when the franchise was established as Delhi Daredevils. The team has historically been a mid-tier competitor, reaching the playoffs multiple times but never securing the championship trophy. In the 2026 season, Delhi Capitals enters with a roster constructed from the IPL auction earlier in the year, featuring a mix of Indian internationals and overseas players. The T20 tournament format means that any single match can be unpredictable—momentum, injuries, and form fluctuations play significant roles across the six-week competition. The market's 0% assessment of Delhi Capitals' championship chances suggests the team is either mathematically eliminated from playoff contention or carries such a severe competitive burden that traders assign near-zero probability to winning all remaining matches and the subsequent knockout phases. In IPL structure, the top four teams qualify for the playoffs; if Delhi Capitals is outside the top four with insufficient wins remaining to catch other teams, they cannot reach the finals and cannot win the tournament. This creates a binary condition: mathematically alive or mathematically dead. Historical context provides perspective—in past IPL seasons, teams that appeared eliminated have occasionally mounted improbable runs. However, the 0% market price reflects a calculated assessment that the probability of Delhi Capitals winning the title is effectively zero under current conditions. The 24-hour volume of $266,954 indicates significant interest in the outcome, yet the current liquidity of just $4,399 is modest, suggesting that most traders are not actively positioned at the 0% price. This can indicate strong consensus: no one is willing to trade on Delhi Capitals at a price implying any material chance of victory. The lack of depth at 0% odds means any trader attempting to move the price would face difficulty finding counterparties willing to take the opposite side. For market participants, watching Delhi Capitals' remaining fixtures, the playoff qualification cutoff on May 31st, and any injury developments affecting squad strength will matter if circumstances change. However, the current 0% price represents the market's strong statement that, under present conditions, a Delhi Capitals championship in 2026 is not a realistic possibility.
What are traders watching for?
Delhi Capitals' remaining fixtures against top-four competitors; consecutive losses likely end championship hopes mathematically.
IPL playoff qualification standings as of May 31st; failure to finish in top four eliminates championship possibility entirely.
Key player injuries or fitness updates affecting Delhi Capitals' roster strength for final regular-season matches.
Head-to-head results between Delhi and higher-ranked teams; losses eliminate any remaining elimination-scenario pathway.
How does this market resolve?
The market resolves on May 31st, 2026, when the 2026 IPL tournament concludes with a crowned champion. YES resolves to 1.0 if Delhi Capitals wins the championship; NO resolves to 1.0 if any other team wins.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.
