The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints, with approximately 20 percent of global oil passing through it annually. Recent geopolitical tensions have brought attention to whether the Trump administration intends to address blockade-related policies in the region. This prediction market resolves based on whether Trump or an authorized administration official makes an official public announcement regarding the status of any US blockade at the Strait of Hormuz before April 19, 2026. The announcement itself is the resolution criterion, regardless of the blockade's actual status. At 70% YES odds, the market is pricing in a reasonably high probability that such an announcement will occur within the specified timeframe, suggesting traders expect the Trump administration may address this geopolitical matter explicitly. Prediction markets like this help traders form expectations around major policy announcements and geopolitical developments. The odds have remained relatively stable, indicating consensus among market participants on the likelihood of an announcement.