The Strait of Hormuz represents one of the world's most critical chokepoints for global oil shipments, with roughly one-third of all seaborne traded oil passing through its narrow waters. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have periodically sparked discussions about potential blockades, restrictions, or military actions affecting trade through this vital route. This prediction market tracks whether President Trump will publicly announce that a United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026. The current market price of 24% YES suggests that traders assess a relatively low probability of such an announcement occurring within this specific timeframe. This reflects either skepticism about the existence or continuation of a blockade, or broader uncertainty regarding diplomatic resolution before the end date. Market participants are pricing in the possibility that geopolitical negotiations and shifting diplomatic relationships could alter the situation, but the overall low odds indicate consensus that a formal announcement of blockade removal is unlikely during this window. The moderate liquidity of $17,084 provides reasonable depth for traders interested in positioning on this complex geopolitical outcome.