Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 18-20, 2026? Current YES odds: 0%. Trade this open prediction market directly on Polymarket Trade platform.
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This market tracks the tweet volume of Elon Musk over a specific three-day window in April 2026. Specifically, it resolves based on the total number of tweets Elon Musk posts from April 18 through April 20, 2026. The outcome depends on verifiable tweet count data from Musk's @elonmusk account during the specified period. Currently trading at 0% odds for YES, the market strongly reflects trader skepticism about Musk reaching the 140-164 tweet threshold during this window. To provide context, posting 140+ tweets in three days requires roughly 47+ tweets per day, which represents an elevated activity level relative to most users on the platform. The resolution mechanism relies on publicly available tweet data that can be independently verified and audited. Market participants are factoring in Musk's typical posting patterns, any scheduled breaks, recent account activity, and his overall engagement levels when evaluating the probability of this outcome. The current 0% odds suggest the market consensus views this outcome as highly unlikely relative to Musk's baseline tweet frequency. This market closes on April 20, 2026 at 00:00 UTC and will be settled based on the final verified tweet count during the specified window.
This market resolves YES if Elon Musk posts 140-164 tweets from April 18-20, 2026, NO otherwise. Resolution occurs on April 20, 2026 at 00:00 UTC using publicly verified tweet count data from his @elonmusk account.
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