Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 17-24, 2026? Current market odds: 0% YES. Explore this prediction market and monitor Elon's activity.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Elon Musk's Twitter activity has long attracted market attention given his profile and the reach of his posts. This market measures a specific outcome: whether he will post between 560-579 tweets during the one-week window from April 17 to April 24, 2026. The window is precisely defined with a clear resolution date, making this a straightforward, measurable prediction. The current market odds showing 0% YES reflect the market's assessment that this posting volume is unlikely within this timeframe. To achieve 560-579 tweets over 8 days requires an average of approximately 70-72 posts per day—a notably high rate that would exceed typical daily posting patterns. The market pricing has remained firm at this low probability level, indicating broad consensus among traders that the target range is unlikely to be reached. Market resolution will rely on the official tweet count displayed on the @elonmusk account as recorded by Twitter/X's servers at 00:00 UTC on April 24, 2026. This metric is publicly verifiable and leaves no room for interpretation, ensuring clean resolution.
This market resolves based on the official tweet count from Elon Musk's @elonmusk account as recorded on April 24, 2026 at 00:00 UTC. If the total number of tweets posted between April 17 and April 24 falls between 560-579, the market resolves YES; otherwise, it resolves NO.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.