Will Elon Musk post between 90-114 tweets in the April 18-20 window? Current YES odds: 12%. Participate in this live prediction market.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Elon Musk is known for high tweet volume, especially around significant events or product announcements. This market focuses on a narrow 3-day window (April 18-20, 2026) with a specific range of 90-114 tweets. The market is resolvable based on publicly available Twitter activity data, which can be independently verified through Musk's official account timeline. At 12% YES odds, the current market price implies this posting frequency is unlikely—the odds reflect that the probability of posting exactly 90-114 tweets is being valued quite low. Historical data on Musk's tweeting patterns shows significant variation, with some days seeing well over 20 tweets and others far fewer, depending on market events and personal announcements. The narrow odds suggest the 90-114 tweet range represents a middle ground that doesn't align with current market sentiment, which leans toward either lower or higher activity. The market closes at April 20 UTC, providing a clear resolution window. Recent activity indicates evolving sentiment around potential company announcements or events that could trigger elevated or suppressed posting activity during the three-day trading window.
The market resolves YES if Elon Musk posts between 90 and 114 tweets (inclusive) from April 18, 2026 00:00 UTC through April 20, 2026 00:00 UTC, as counted from his official Twitter account. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
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