François Asselineau is a French far-right politician and founder of the Union Populaire Républicaine (UPR) party. He has previously run for French president in 2012, 2017, and 2022, garnering modest support in each election. The 2027 French presidential election will be held on April 30, 2027, to elect the next head of state for a five-year term. Asselineau has announced his intention to run again, positioning himself as an alternative candidate on the political fringe. The market resolves based on the official results from the French Ministry of Interior. Currently trading at 1% YES odds, the market reflects very low expectation that Asselineau will secure the presidency, given his historical performance and the crowded field of established candidates. French presidential elections require a runoff if no candidate achieves 50% in the first round, which would likely eliminate a fringe candidate. The current price implies traders assess his winning probability at less than 1 in 100, consistent with polling data showing him with minimal mainstream support. As the election approaches, odds may shift based on campaign developments, coalition announcements, and broader political movements within the French electorate.