This market tracks whether U.S. retail gasoline prices will reach a high of $4.75 per gallon by the end of April 2026. The question is resolved based on official EIA (Energy Information Administration) weekly data on national average prices at the pump, making it verifiable and transparent. Gasoline prices are influenced by multiple factors including crude oil supply shocks, OPEC production decisions, geopolitical tensions (particularly in the Middle East), refinery capacity constraints, seasonal demand patterns, and broader economic cycles. Current odds of 1% suggest traders view a $4.75 high as very unlikely, reflecting the present price environment and expectations for the remainder of the month. The resolution mechanism is straightforward—the market checks whether the weekly high reaches or exceeds $4.75 during the trading period. Recent volatility in Middle Eastern oil markets and ongoing geopolitical tensions could potentially impact crude oil futures and downstream gasoline prices, but a rally to this level would still represent a substantial jump from typical current price levels. The relatively tight liquidity and low trading volume indicate limited trader interest in this particular outcome, which aligns with the consensus low-probability assessment in the current market pricing.