Jerome Powell has served as Chair of the Federal Reserve since February 2018, appointed initially by President Trump and reappointed for a second term. This market examines the narrow possibility of Powell's departure from the Fed Chair position specifically between May 23 and May 29, 2026. The current market odds of 8% indicate relatively low probability assigned to this event by traders. Powell's tenure and departure decisions are matters of public record, making this market outcome directly verifiable through official Federal Reserve announcements and established news sources. The probability reflects how market participants assess the combination of political dynamics, economic conditions, and Powell's stated commitment to serving his full term through 2026. Throughout history, Federal Reserve Chair departures are relatively rare events and typically scheduled well in advance rather than occurring unexpectedly during a specific week. The market remains open through July 3, 2026, giving traders a window to adjust positions if new information emerges. The moderate volume and liquidity indicate reasonable interest from prediction market participants in this outcome. This market allows participants to express views on the likelihood of unscheduled Fed leadership transition within this specified narrow timeframe.