Jude Bellingham joined Real Madrid in 2023 and has become a key player in European football. The 2025-26 La Liga season runs from August 2025 to May 2026, with the top goal scorer determined by official La Liga statistics. The market currently prices Bellingham at 0% odds, reflecting trader consensus that he has virtually no chance of winning the scoring title. This assessment stems from Bellingham's role at Real Madrid—primarily a box-to-box midfielder with defensive responsibilities, rather than a pure striker. He competes for goals against dedicated forwards and elite wingers like Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo, who are positioned higher up the pitch. The 0% odds suggest the market views this outcome as nearly impossible; specialist strikers with higher shot volume and primary finishing duties are expected to far outscore a midfielder, regardless of his exceptional talent.
Deep dive — what moves this market
Jude Bellingham arrived at Real Madrid from Borussia Dortmund in summer 2023, becoming one of Europe's most exciting young talents at just 20 years old. By the 2024-25 season, he had established himself as integral to Carlo Ancelotti's system, known for his versatility, athleticism, work rate, and maturity. However, the question of whether he can evolve into a genuine goal-scoring threat—one capable of outscoring La Liga's specialist forwards—remains open. The 0% odds reflect market certainty that this will not happen. First, Real Madrid deploys world-class finishers in Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo, and others whose primary function is to score goals from advanced positions. Bellingham's typical role involves box-to-box midfield duties, defensive contribution, and chance creation—roles that yield fewer goal-scoring opportunities than a striker's position. Second, La Liga attracts elite forwards from across Europe, creating fierce competition for the golden boot. Third, Bellingham's historical goal-scoring record at Birmingham City and Dortmund, while respectable for a midfielder (averaging 0.3-0.5 goals per game), does not position him as a natural golden boot contender when compared to elite strikers. For Bellingham to hit YES, Real Madrid would need to deploy him as a false nine or primary attacking forward, a significant tactical shift. Alternatively, injuries to primary strikers or an exceptional personal goal-scoring run combined with reduced output from competitors could theoretically create a path. However, midfielders rarely top La Liga scoring charts; specialist forwards dominate the award. The 0% odds represent the market's final assessment: Bellingham's value lies in his all-around game, not pure finishing, and traders believe he will be comprehensively outscored by dedicated strikers regardless of his talent.
