Marco Rubio currently serves as U.S. Secretary of State and has long been a prominent voice advocating for political change in Venezuela. This market tracks the probability that Rubio will become the official leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026. Venezuela's political situation remains contested, with multiple parties and international governments seeking to influence the country's direction. The market is resolvable based on internationally recognized declarations of Venezuela's head of state or head of government as of year-end 2026. Current odds at 0% suggest traders assign virtually no likelihood to this outcome within the specified timeframe. This pricing reflects expectations that existing leadership structures, domestic political forces, or alternative political figures will shape Venezuela's government rather than Rubio assuming the role. The market may see price shifts if significant events occur in U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic relations, Venezuelan domestic politics, or regional geopolitical developments. Traders monitor this market for signals about near-term expectations for Venezuelan political transitions and international involvement in the country's governance.