The 2025-26 English Premier League season enters its final stretch, with matches concluding May 27, 2026. The Golden Boot race—awarded to the season's leading goal scorer—is effectively settled, as evidenced by the 0% market odds for Mohamed Salah. At this late stage, with only weeks of play remaining, traders assess that Salah either trails the leader by too many goals to realistically catch up, or has been sidelined by injury or tactical considerations. Liverpool's finishing position and match availability will determine Salah's final goal tally. The 0% odds reflect a market consensus that another striker—likely someone who built a substantial lead earlier in the season—will claim the award. This pricing emerges from both concrete goal tallies and the mathematical improbability of bridging the gap in the remaining fixtures.
Deep dive — what moves this market
Mohamed Salah has established himself as one of the Premier League's premier goal scorers over the past several seasons, regularly contending for the Golden Boot award and occasionally winning it. The 2025-26 campaign represents another opportunity, but the 0% market odds indicate he has fallen definitively out of contention. Historically, the Premier League's top scorers accumulate 20-30 goals per season, with the winner typically clinching the award by April or May as the mathematical gap becomes insurmountable for trailing competitors. The current market pricing reflects a scenario where Salah is several goals behind the leading candidate with only four weeks of fixtures remaining—a deficit too large to overcome even if he scores in every match. Several factors likely contributed to this outcome: sustained excellence from competing strikers such as Erling Haaland or younger prolific forwards who built early-season leads, potential injury setbacks for Salah at a critical juncture, tactical adjustments by Liverpool prioritizing different aspects of play, or simply the natural variance in goal-scoring fortune that determines such races. Recent seasons have demonstrated that Golden Boot races are often decided early and seldom feature dramatic late-season reversals. The 0% odds suggest traders see virtually no path to a Salah victory, making this an interesting historical marker for his 2025-26 campaign.
What traders watch for
Final EPL matches conclude May 27, 2026; Golden Boot determined by official total
Mohamed Salah's current goal tally and deficit versus the leading striker
Liverpool's remaining fixtures and Salah's availability due to injury or rotation
Current goal leaders among other Premier League strikers
How does this market resolve?
The market resolves based on official Premier League records for the 2025-26 season. The Golden Boot is awarded to the player with the most goals across all league matches as the season concludes May 27, 2026.
Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket Trade, every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. This page summarizes the market state for readers arriving from search; for live trading (place orders, see order book depth, execute a trade) open the full interactive page linked above.
