Bulgaria's 2026 parliamentary election is scheduled for April 19, 2026. Progressive Bulgaria (PB) is the country's leading center-right political party. The market is asking whether PB will win the most parliamentary seats in the election, making it the largest party in Bulgaria's unicameral National Assembly. Current prediction market odds of 99% YES indicate extremely strong market consensus that Progressive Bulgaria will emerge as the plurality winner. This high confidence reflects both polling data and recent electoral trends in Bulgaria, where the party has consistently polled ahead of competitors. The market will resolve on the official results released by Bulgaria's Central Election Commission after counting all votes and handling any provisional ballot disputes. A 99% price means traders believe there is less than a 1% chance that another party—such as the Socialist Party of Bulgaria, the Democratic Bulgaria coalition, or any other political force—will win more seats than PB. Historical context: Bulgaria has experienced significant political fragmentation in recent years, with multiple parties gaining parliamentary representation. The resolution criteria are straightforward and objective: the party with the single highest seat count in the National Assembly wins the market. This high confidence level has remained stable in recent trading activity, reflecting minimal uncertainty about the electoral outcome among market participants.