Rafael López Aliaga, the businessman and former Fujimorista party member, is one of several candidates contending in Peru's 2026 presidential election scheduled for June 2026. The market tracks his probability of winning the presidency based on real-time trading activity. At 11% YES odds, market participants currently assess a relatively low chance of his victory compared to other candidates in the race. López Aliaga has previously run for Peru's highest office and represents a center-right political orientation. The 11% price suggests traders believe other candidates have stronger electoral viability or broader coalition support. Peruvian elections have historically experienced significant campaign dynamics, with voter preferences sometimes shifting notably during the final months before voting. Current odds reflect consensus expectations among traders about his chances relative to competing candidates and their respective platforms. As June 2026 approaches, market prices may adjust based on polling developments, campaign announcements, economic conditions, and broader political factors affecting Peru's electorate.