SpaceX has been one of the most closely watched private companies in aerospace, with CEO Elon Musk frequently discussing the possibility of going public. The company achieved significant milestones including successful human spaceflight missions, lunar lander contracts, and continuous Starlink expansion. However, Musk has historically stated that SpaceX may not go public for many years, preferring to maintain control and long-term focus without quarterly earnings pressure. This market asks whether a listing would occur by May 31, 2026—just over a year from now. At 2% odds, traders are pricing in an extremely low probability of an IPO by that date, suggesting skepticism about near-term listing announcements. SpaceX would need to file SEC registration statements, complete regulatory review, and price shares within the remaining window, all of which require significant momentum not currently signaled by company leadership. The low odds reflect both historical statements from management and the typical 6–12 month timeline required for IPO preparation. Recent price movements show minimal volatility, indicating market consensus remains firmly skeptical of this outcome within the specified timeframe.