The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on April 29-30, 2026, to make interest rate decisions. This prediction market tracks whether the Fed will increase its benchmark interest rate by at least 25 basis points (0.25%) following that meeting. Market participants analyze economic data—inflation trends, employment reports, GDP growth, unemployment figures, and Fed communications—to assess the likelihood of a rate increase. The current market price at 0% YES odds suggests market participants are pricing in effectively zero probability of a 25+ basis point hike at the April meeting. This could reflect recent economic data showing stable inflation, strong labor market conditions, moderating wage pressures, or explicit Fed guidance signaling no major rate changes are planned. The resolution is straightforward: Federal Reserve officials will announce their interest rate decision on April 30, 2026, and the market will resolve YES if they increase the federal funds rate by 25 basis points or more, or NO if they hold rates steady, raise by less than 25 basis points, or cut rates. As the meeting date approaches, market odds typically shift based on new economic releases, inflation data, and Fed communications from officials.