Will Ankara reach exactly 12°C on April 20? Current YES odds stand at 7% in this weather prediction market, reflecting a low probability for this specific temperature.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Ankara, Turkey's capital city located in the central Anatolian plateau, experiences variable spring weather in late April as the region transitions from cooler to warmer temperatures. The prediction market centers on whether the highest temperature recorded in Ankara on April 20, 2026 will reach exactly 12°C—a relatively cool reading for mid-spring in the region. This market is resolvable using official meteorological data from Turkey's State Meteorological Service, which tracks daily high temperatures across major cities. The current 7% YES odds suggest traders view this specific temperature outcome as unlikely, implying expectations for either warmer or significantly cooler conditions on that date. Historical April temperatures in Ankara typically range from 15°C to 25°C, making a high of 12°C a below-typical scenario. The low odds reflect this seasonal pattern and suggest market participants estimate a stronger likelihood of temperatures exceeding 12°C. As April 20 approaches, odds may shift based on updated weather forecasts and atmospheric conditions, creating dynamic trading opportunities for those monitoring Ankara's seasonal weather patterns.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026 using the official daily high temperature recorded in Ankara by Turkey's State Meteorological Service. It resolves YES if the highest temperature is exactly 12°C, and NO for any other recorded temperature.
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