Ankara, Turkey's capital city, experiences variable spring weather patterns through April. This prediction market tracks whether the highest recorded temperature in Ankara on April 18, 2026 will be 12°C or lower. The market resolves based on official temperature data from Turkish meteorological services, making it a straightforward and transparent resolution. Current trading odds show 7% probability on the YES side, indicating strong market consensus that temperatures will exceed 12°C on this date. This reflects typical April weather patterns in Ankara, where spring warming generally brings daytime highs well above this threshold. The 7% price implies traders expect more typical spring conditions rather than unseasonably cold temperatures. The low liquidity and modest 24-hour volume suggest this is a niche recurring daily market with limited participation. Mid-April in Ankara typically sees daytime temperatures ranging from 15°C to 20°C, making the 12°C threshold a meaningful test of colder-than-normal conditions.