This market resolves on whether Ankara, Turkey's capital city, will experience a maximum temperature of 4°C or below on April 19, 2026. Ankara's climate in mid-to-late April is characterized by spring conditions, with daily highs typically ranging from 10-20°C depending on weather patterns. A maximum temperature of 4°C or lower would represent an unusually cold scenario for this period, significantly below typical seasonal expectations. The current market odds place YES at just 1%, reflecting strong market consensus that temperatures will exceed this threshold. This low probability indicates traders are nearly certain that normal spring conditions will persist rather than an unexpected cold snap or anomalous weather event occurring. Resolution uses official Turkish meteorological sources, providing a verifiable and objective temperature record for determining the outcome. With $5,616 in total liquidity and $659 in 24-hour trading volume, this represents an actively traded daily weather prediction market. The recent odds trajectory shows stability at very low probability levels, suggesting consistent trader conviction that normal spring temperatures will continue in mid-April Ankara. Such weather prediction markets enable participants to assess daily and seasonal temperature outlooks against real-time market probability data, effectively pricing in collective expectations about meteorological outcomes.