Will Atlanta's highest temperature on April 20 be between 80-81°F? Current YES odds: 1%. Narrow band prediction market reflects spring variability in Georgia.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Atlanta's April weather typically ranges from mid-60s to low-80s Fahrenheit, depending on weather systems and seasonal transition patterns. The prediction market for April 20's high temperature between 80-81°F shows just a 1% probability, indicating traders view this specific narrow band as unlikely. This one-degree range is inherently harder to hit than broader temperature bands. April in Atlanta often experiences variable conditions as spring weather patterns develop across the Southeast. The market's pricing reflects that hitting this exact range requires precise atmospheric conditions—neither cooler than 80°F nor warmer than 81°F. Historical April averages in Atlanta show highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, making the 80-81°F band plausible but not the most probable outcome. The 1% odds suggest traders expect either a cooler day below 80°F or a warmer day above 81°F as more likely scenarios. Early April typically sees lower highs, while late April can push into the mid-80s. The market shows $2,542 in 24-hour volume with $4,539 in liquidity, indicating modest but consistent interest in Atlanta's daily temperature predictions.
The market resolves YES if the highest temperature recorded in Atlanta on April 20, 2026 falls between 80.0°F and 81.0°F inclusive. Resolution uses official NOAA or National Weather Service data for the Atlanta metropolitan area.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.