Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 20? Current YES odds are 1%. Trade weather predictions on this live prediction market.
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This prediction market tracks whether Austin, Texas will experience a daily high temperature between 74-75°F on April 20, 2026. During mid-April, Austin's climate typically generates daily highs in the mid-70s to low 80s range, making this narrow two-degree window a specific and uncommon outcome. The market currently trades at 1% YES odds, reflecting the low probability that the recorded high will fall precisely within this narrow band. This pricing suggests market participants believe Austin's temperature on April 20 will either remain below 74°F or climb above 75°F, as daily highs naturally experience broader variation due to changing weather patterns, cloud cover, and atmospheric conditions. The market resolution will depend on the official National Weather Service high temperature reading recorded at Austin's designated weather station. Settlement occurs on April 21 at 12:00 AM UTC, when the official recorded high is compared against the specified 74.0-75.0°F range, with both boundaries included as valid resolutions. Understanding Austin's historical April weather patterns, typical temperature distributions, and current seasonal conditions helps contextualize the narrow odds reflected in this market. This type of precision temperature forecast appeals to traders interested in hyper-specific meteorological outcomes.
This market resolves on April 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC based on the official National Weather Service high temperature reading for Austin. The market settles YES if the recorded high falls between 74.0°F and 75.0°F inclusive, and NO otherwise.
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