Will Austin's highest temperature on April 20 be between 76-77°F? Current YES odds: 0%. Traders assess near-zero probability for this narrow temperature band.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Austin's daily high temperature on April 20 will be determined by official National Weather Service (NWS) records for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, the reference point for local weather data. The market focuses on a narrow 76-77°F range for the day's maximum temperature. Current market odds of 0% suggest traders view this specific temperature band as highly unlikely given typical April weather patterns in central Texas. Spring temperatures in Austin typically range from the mid-70s to low-80s during mid-April, so hitting exactly 76-77°F would require specific atmospheric conditions. The market resolves at the scheduled end time using the official high temperature recorded by NWS. Odds movements reflect real-time forecast updates and model consensus as the resolution date approaches. This recurring daily temperature market allows participants to express precise views on weather outcomes, useful for short-term meteorological forecasting or weather-dependent business planning.
The market resolves at 2026-04-20 00:00:00 UTC based on the official National Weather Service recorded high temperature for Austin on the specified date.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.