Will Austin's highest temperature on April 20 fall between 82-83°F? Current YES odds: 0%. Trade live weather prediction market with real-time odds.
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This prediction market asks whether Austin, Texas will record a high temperature between 82-83°F on April 20, 2026. The question tracks Austin's daily maximum temperature, one of the most objective and verifiable weather metrics available. The current YES odds at 0% suggest traders expect the high temperature to fall outside this narrow 1-degree band—either significantly warmer or cooler. In April, Austin typically experiences highs in the mid-80s to low-90s Fahrenheit, making this specific range a precise target. Market resolution uses official National Weather Service data for Austin's high temperature, providing an unambiguous and transparent outcome. The 0% pricing reflects extremely low conviction that temperatures will land precisely in this range, indicating traders expect either a cooler spring day or warmer-than-typical conditions. This recurring daily temperature market allows traders to speculate on exact high-temperature ranges against real-world meteorological settlement data.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026 based on the official National Weather Service high temperature reading for Austin, Texas. If the highest temperature recorded falls between 82-83°F inclusive, the YES outcome wins; all other temperatures resolve to NO.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.