This market resolves based on the highest recorded temperature in Beijing on April 20, 2026. The current YES odds at 0% show no traders are willing to buy YES at any price, indicating their strong collective belief that the day's high temperature will not be exactly 29°C. Beijing's spring weather typically produces highs ranging from 20 to 30 degrees Celsius, but matching exactly 29°C is relatively uncommon in weather prediction markets, especially when meteorologists project a temperature range. The absence of buy-side interest suggests traders expect the actual high to fall either below 28°C or above 30°C. Resolution depends entirely on official meteorological data from Beijing's primary weather station at the market close on April 20. Weather prediction markets reflect real-time trader expectations as meteorological forecasts update and actual conditions develop. The short resolution window means traders have limited time to adjust positions as weather systems move through the region and forecasts evolve. Historical patterns show that April temperatures in Beijing often reach the mid-to-high 20s, though exact daily highs depend on specific weather conditions. The precision required here—matching an exact temperature rather than a range—distinguishes this as a challenging weather forecast.