Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 20? Current odds: 5% YES. Prediction market showing rare outcome expectation. 24-hour volume: $1,584.
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Busan, South Korea, will experience its typical spring weather pattern on April 20, 2026. This prediction market focuses on whether the highest temperature recorded in Busan that day will reach exactly 24°C. The 5% YES odds indicate traders view this specific temperature threshold as unlikely, suggesting consensus expectations for temperatures either modestly warmer or cooler. This weather prediction market resolves based on official meteorological data from Busan's primary weather stations at the end of April 20, local time. The extreme specificity of a single-degree threshold makes this market more challenging than broader temperature ranges. Even a reading of 23.5°C or 24.5°C would result in a NO outcome. This precision accounts for the low probability traders are assigning. Spring conditions in Busan typically see high temperatures in the range of 18–25°C depending on weather patterns, making April 20 forecasting subject to natural variability. Current market liquidity of $3,593 reflects moderate trader interest in this daily weather event. The trading volume of $1,584 over 24 hours suggests active speculation on temperature precision. Markets like this attract traders interested in meteorological forecasting or those hedging broader weather-dependent positions. The objective, verifiable resolution criteria—official government temperature readings—ensures fair market settlement without ambiguity.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026 at 00:00 UTC based on the highest temperature recorded in Busan that day from official meteorological sources. The market settles YES if the maximum temperature is exactly 24°C, and NO for any other recorded maximum temperature.
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