Will Chongqing's highest temperature be exactly 15°C on April 20? Current odds: only 1% probability traders assign to this specific temperature outcome.
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Chongqing, a major city in southwestern China, experiences seasonal temperature variation. April weather typically brings mild spring conditions with highs ranging 15-25°C. This market resolves based on whether the maximum temperature reaches exactly 15°C on April 20, 2026. The current 1% odds reflect how unlikely traders assess this outcome—predicting an exact temperature is significantly harder than forecasting ranges. Weather predictions become more reliable within 2-7 days of the target date. The relatively low liquidity demonstrates the specificity of this market; traders require precise conditions to resolve YES. As April 20 approaches, market pricing may shift based on updated meteorological forecasts. The odds trajectory will depend on official weather predictions released closer to the resolution date.
This market resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded in Chongqing on April 20, 2026 is exactly 15°C, and NO if the high is any other value. Resolution uses official meteorological data.
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