Will the highest temperature in Dallas reach exactly 74–75°F on April 20? Current YES odds: 37%. Explore and trade this weather prediction market.
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April marks a transition month in Dallas, where spring weather can be highly variable. Temperatures typically range from the mid-60s Fahrenheit to the mid-80s during this period, with significant variability driven by shifting weather patterns and atmospheric conditions. This market asks whether Dallas will experience a high temperature between exactly 74–75°F on April 20, 2026—a narrow band within the month's typical range. The resolution is straightforward: the market resolves YES if the National Weather Service reports the highest temperature for Dallas on that date falls within the 74–75°F range, and NO otherwise. At current odds of 37% for YES, traders view this narrow temperature band as moderately unlikely. The specificity of the 74–75°F range explains the lower odds, as it represents a small slice of Dallas's typical April temperature distribution. This reflects the inherent challenge of multi-day weather forecasting at such precision. Weather prediction markets rely on official National Weather Service data, making resolution objective and transparent. The current 24-hour trading volume of $2,078 indicates moderate interest in this particular temperature outcome.
This market resolves based on the National Weather Service's reported high temperature for Dallas on April 20, 2026. It resolves YES if the high is between 74–75°F inclusive, and NO if it falls outside this range.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.