Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80-81°F on April 20? Prediction market trades at 1% YES odds. Real-time pricing on Polymarket.
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April 20 marks mid-spring in Dallas, where average daily highs typically range from 76°F to 82°F. This prediction market narrows the outcome to a precise window: a highest temperature between 80-81°F on April 20, 2026. The market will resolve based on the official high temperature recorded for that day. Currently trading at just 1% YES odds, the market implies this outcome is highly unlikely. A temperature band of only one degree—falling within Dallas's typical April range but representing one specific slice of outcomes—is why odds remain low. Spring weather in North Texas can be variable; highs might reach 75°F on a cool day or push toward 85°F on a warm one. This particular 80-81°F outcome is just one possible result. The odds trajectory suggests traders have assessed historical April weather patterns and expect the actual high to fall outside this narrow band. Resolution will use the National Weather Service's official daily high temperature for Dallas on April 20. As the date approaches, real-time weather forecasts and broader market sentiment may shift odds accordingly.
Market resolves April 20, 2026 based on the National Weather Service's official daily high for Dallas. YES if high falls between 80-81°F (inclusive); NO otherwise.
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