Will Dallas's highest temperature on April 20 fall between 82-83°F? Current YES odds at 0%. Trade live weather prediction markets.
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Dallas experiences variable spring weather in late April, with daytime highs typically ranging from the mid-70s to mid-80s depending on atmospheric patterns, cloud cover, and humidity levels. April 20 sits in the transitional period between spring's unpredictability and early summer's heat, when warm air masses moving north from the Gulf of Mexico can interact with lingering cool fronts. This prediction market specifically targets a narrow 82-83°F band for Dallas's daily high temperature, representing one precise outcome within the broader April temperature distribution. The market currently trades at 0% YES odds, reflecting market participants' collective assessment that temperatures will fall outside this exact range on April 20. Weather prediction markets serve as mechanisms for traders to express precise views on meteorological outcomes using standardized probability contracts. Such markets aggregate information from weather forecasts, historical climate data, and current atmospheric conditions. The odds trajectory indicates minimal market conviction toward the 82-83°F range, suggesting traders expect either cooler conditions below 82°F or warmer temperatures above 83°F. These narrow temperature windows demonstrate how prediction markets can break down complex weather outcomes into granular, verifiable events suitable for trading and analysis.
Market resolves YES if the highest temperature recorded in Dallas on April 20, 2026 falls between 82°F and 83°F inclusive. Market resolves NO if the high temperature is outside this range.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.