Will Dallas reach a high of 86-87°F on April 20? Current YES odds are 0%. Trade this weather prediction market with live odds and liquidity.
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Dallas experiences variable spring weather in mid-April, with typical daily highs ranging between 75 and 85°F during this transitional period toward summer. This prediction market tracks whether the maximum daily temperature recorded in Dallas on April 20, 2026 will fall precisely within the narrow 86–87°F temperature band. The current zero percent YES odds indicate that traders currently assess other temperature outcomes as more probable given available seasonal climatology, historical patterns, and weather forecast data. Markets like this resolve using official National Weather Service recordings for the Dallas–Fort Worth metropolitan area, ensuring the outcome is objectively verifiable and disputes are minimized. The extremely narrow two-degree window distinguishes this market from typical broader temperature forecasts, making it appealing to sophisticated traders interested in granular, high-precision weather predictions. With 24-hour trading volume of $1,182 and available liquidity of $10,429, the market reflects moderate but sustained trader interest in Dallas-specific daily temperature band outcomes. As the event date approaches, odds may shift significantly based on updated weather model consensus, atmospheric data, and refined meteorological forecasts. The market demonstrates how prediction markets can efficiently price uncertainty around highly specific, weather-dependent outcomes.
The market resolves YES if the official National Weather Service maximum daily temperature for Dallas–Fort Worth on April 20 falls between 86 and 87 degrees Fahrenheit. Official NWS records determine the outcome.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.