Will the highest temperature in Dallas reach 88-89°F on April 20? Current YES odds at 0%. Trade temperature predictions live on Polymarket's weather market.
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Dallas experiences variable spring weather throughout mid-April, with typical high temperatures ranging from the mid-70s to mid-80s Fahrenheit depending on atmospheric patterns. This prediction market focuses on a specific and narrower temperature band: whether the highest temperature on April 20, 2026 will fall between 88-89°F, representing above-average warmth for this season. Market resolution relies on official National Weather Service (NWS) data for the Dallas/Fort Worth metropolitan area, ensuring independent verification and clear settlement criteria that cannot be disputed. The current market price reflects 0% odds on the YES side, indicating that active traders collectively assess this exact temperature outcome as unlikely to occur on the specified date. As the calendar approaches April 20, weather forecast models will improve in precision, potentially shifting market prices and creating trading opportunities. Understanding Dallas climate history and monitoring extended forecasts can inform trading decisions. The tight 1-degree temperature bandwidth (88-89°F versus broader ranges) provides clear resolution mechanics but necessarily increases the precision required for YES settlement. With $11,371 in available liquidity and $1,611 in recent 24-hour volume, the market maintains sufficient trading depth for participants to comfortably enter or exit positions.
Market resolves YES if the highest temperature recorded in Dallas on April 20, 2026 falls within the 88-89°F range according to National Weather Service official data. Resolution occurs at market end (April 20, 2026, 00:00 UTC) based on NWS Dallas/Fort Worth records.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.