Will Denver's highest temperature reach 40°F or higher on April 20? Current market odds: 100% YES. Live prediction market tracking weather forecasts.
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Denver's high temperature forecast for April 20, 2026 is tracked through this prediction market, which settles based on the National Weather Service's official reading for the day. The market's resolution criteria are straightforward: if Denver's highest temperature reaches 40°F or above, YES traders win; if it stays below 40°F, NO traders win. With current market odds at 100% YES, traders are expressing high confidence that April weather in Denver will deliver temperatures at or above the 40°F threshold. This pricing reflects both seasonal expectations—mid-April in Denver typically brings temperatures well above 40°F—and recent meteorological forecasts. The 24-hour trading volume of $6,000 and available liquidity of $4,198 suggest active interest in this weather market, despite the strong consensus indicated by the odds. Prediction markets like this allow traders to express their conviction about specific weather events through odds and pricing mechanisms. The market eliminates ambiguity by using an official, objective data source for resolution. The outcome is determined exclusively by recorded temperature data, making this a pure play on atmospheric conditions for a single day in Denver.
The market resolves on April 20, 2026 based on the National Weather Service's official high temperature reading for Denver. YES traders win if the reading is 40°F or above; NO traders win if it falls below 40°F.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.