Will Denver's highest temperature on April 20 be between 22-23°F? Current YES odds: 0%. Explore the live weather prediction market for this outcome.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Denver, Colorado frequently experiences variable spring weather, with April temperatures typically ranging from the 30s to 60s Fahrenheit depending on weather patterns and atmospheric conditions. April 20 marks the middle of spring, when Denver can see both warm, pleasant days and rare cold snaps. The specific range of 22-23°F represents a notably cold outcome for late April, suggesting a significant weather system or an intrusion of arctic air mass unusually late in the season. The current 0% YES odds indicate that prediction market participants view this temperature range as highly unlikely for April 20 in Denver. This assessment reflects historical April weather patterns in the Denver metropolitan area, where average high temperatures climb steadily into the 40s and 50s Fahrenheit by mid-to-late April. The market's near-zero valuation of this scenario suggests strong collective confidence that Denver will experience milder, more typical spring conditions. Weather outcomes are fully resolvable using official National Weather Service data, which records daily high temperatures for Denver with precision. The market will settle based on whether the recorded high temperature on April 20 falls within the specified 22-23°F range. As the market approaches expiration, odds may shift if weather forecasts indicate an unexpected cold front moving into the region.
Market resolves on April 20, 2026 at midnight UTC based on the official National Weather Service high temperature record for Denver. The market settles YES if the recorded high falls between 22-23°F inclusive, and NO otherwise.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.