Will Denver's highest temperature fall between 38-39°F on April 20? Current market odds: 0% YES. Trade live prediction market odds now.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Denver, Colorado typically experiences mild to warm temperatures in mid-April, with average highs around 60°F. This market asks whether the highest temperature on April 20 will fall within the narrow 38-39°F range, which would require significantly colder conditions than seasonal norms. Such temperatures would represent a freeze-level event for late April in Denver, suggesting a late-season cold snap or arctic air mass would need to move through the region. At 0% odds, market participants currently assess this outcome as extremely unlikely, reflecting historical patterns showing Denver rarely drops to such levels in late April. This would require unusual atmospheric conditions to develop. The market is pricing in the very low probability of a dramatic temperature departure from typical April weather. This market resolves using official National Weather Service data for Denver International Airport, which provides the authoritative high temperature record for the day. The specificity of the 38-39°F range makes this a precise prediction that either clears or misses that single degree window based on recorded data.
Market resolves on April 20, 2026 at midnight UTC based on National Weather Service official high temperature data for Denver. YES if the recorded high falls between 38-39°F (inclusive), NO otherwise.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.