Will Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 20, 2026 reach 21°C or below? Current YES odds: 0%. Weather prediction market on daily maximum temperature.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Hong Kong experiences warm spring weather in April, with daily high temperatures typically ranging between 20°C and 28°C during this period of seasonal transition. April marks the latter part of spring before the onset of summer heat, making it a moderate-temperature month overall. The question focuses on whether the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on April 20, 2026 will reach 21°C or lower—a below-average scenario for the season. Current market odds at 0% for YES reflect the expectation that temperatures will exceed this threshold, indicating traders anticipate typical or above-average warmth for the date. This suggests market participants expect April 20 to follow seasonal norms rather than experience an unusually cool day. This weather market resolves using official temperature data from Hong Kong's meteorological services, making resolution objective and verifiable. The absence of trading activity at 0% odds indicates strong consensus that a cool-day scenario is highly unlikely. Weather prediction markets like this serve as real-time indicators of collective expectations around specific daily conditions, allowing participants to express their probabilistic views on weather forecasts. The market remains open until resolution on April 20, continuously updating odds as weather forecasts are refined and new information emerges.
Market resolves YES if Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 20, 2026 is 21°C or below; NO if it exceeds 21°C. Resolution based on official data from Hong Kong meteorological authorities.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.