Will Hong Kong's highest temperature reach 22°C on April 20? Current market odds: 0% YES. Daily weather prediction market with live pricing and real-time trading.
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Hong Kong's climate in April typically sees daily highs in the 25–28°C range, making a peak temperature of exactly 22°C quite uncommon for this period. The question asks whether the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on April 20, 2026, will settle at precisely 22°C. This market operates on daily weather data that is publicly verifiable and objective. Current market odds are priced at 0% YES, reflecting the extremely low probability that April's warm spring weather in Hong Kong will dip to such a cool level. This pricing suggests traders believe Hong Kong will experience warmer-than-average conditions on that date, or that if cooler weather arrives, the highest temperature is more likely to fall above or below exactly 22°C rather than hitting that precise point. The narrow resolution window—requiring the peak to match exactly one specific temperature value—makes this a challenging prediction. Daily temperature markets like this one attract weather enthusiasts and climate traders seeking granular, measurable predictions with transparent resolution criteria tied directly to official meteorological observations. Liquidity at $6,677 supports active trading throughout the day.
The market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on April 20, 2026 according to official Hong Kong Observatory data. YES wins if the peak temperature is exactly 22°C; NO wins for all other values.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.