Will Jakarta's maximum temperature be 27°C or below on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. The market expects hotter weather on this date. Trade now.
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Jakarta experiences tropical weather year-round with consistently warm temperatures and high humidity. April 20 falls during the late dry season, when daytime highs in the city typically range from 28-32°C, making cooler days relatively uncommon during this period. This prediction market asks whether the highest temperature will remain at or below 27°C, representing a notably cooler-than-typical outcome for Jakarta in late April. The current YES odds of 0% indicate strong market conviction that temperatures will exceed this threshold, a pricing that reflects historical climate data showing April is generally a warm month across Jakarta. Such low odds suggest traders expect typical late-season dry period heat with temperatures well above the 27°C barrier. Market resolution will use official temperature measurements from Jakarta's primary weather stations, making the outcome straightforward to verify. The pricing dynamics suggest participants have confidence in warmer weather patterns prevailing on April 20, with temperatures exceeding the specified threshold by several degrees based on seasonal norms.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026 at 00:00 UTC based on the highest temperature recorded in Jakarta from official weather station data. It settles YES if the maximum daily temperature is 27°C or below, and NO if it exceeds 27°C.
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