Will Kuala Lumpur's daily high reach exactly 25°C on April 20? Current odds: 0% YES. Tropical climate weather prediction market with $13K liquidity.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Kuala Lumpur is a tropical city in Malaysia with consistently warm temperatures year-round. April is part of the southwest monsoon season, typically bringing humid conditions and regular afternoon rainfall. Historical April temperatures in Kuala Lumpur see daily highs averaging between 30°C and 35°C, making a high of exactly 25°C significantly cooler than normal seasonal patterns. This market resolves based on the highest recorded temperature for April 20, 2026, as reported by Malaysia's meteorological authority. At 0% YES odds, traders have priced this outcome as virtually impossible, reflecting the consensus view that an April high of just 25°C would require unusually cool conditions such as extended cloud cover, heavy sustained rainfall, or anomalous air mass movements. The market's deep liquidity of $13,069 with minimal YES trading activity indicates strong confidence in an above-25°C high. Historical volatility in Kuala Lumpur temperatures is relatively low given the tropical climate, and April weather patterns are fairly predictable. The current odds trajectory shows virtually no movement toward YES, reinforcing expectations that today's high will exceed 25°C.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026, based on the official highest temperature recorded in Kuala Lumpur for that date using Malaysia's meteorological authority data. YES resolves if the high equals exactly 25°C; NO if it exceeds or falls below that threshold.
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