Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on April 20? Current prediction market odds: 0% YES. Trade this weather prediction now.
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This market tracks whether the highest temperature in Los Angeles will fall within the narrow band of 56-57°F on April 20, 2026. Currently trading at 0% YES odds, the market reflects how uncommon such cool conditions are for late April in Southern California. Los Angeles typically experiences mild spring weather during this period, with afternoon highs commonly reaching the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit. A high temperature of only 56-57°F would require significant weather disruption—likely a strong cold front moving through the region or sustained marine layer influence extending far inland from the Pacific Ocean. The 0% market price suggests forecasters and traders believe this specific outcome is extremely improbable based on seasonal climatology and current atmospheric patterns. Historically, Los Angeles sees temperatures this cool during April only in rare circumstances. Traders participate in weather prediction markets like this to gain exposure to precise meteorological outcomes or to hedge against specific weather scenarios that could impact their operations. The market carries $1,421 in daily trading volume and $11,488 in available liquidity, providing sufficient depth for traders to enter and exit positions at competitive prices without significant slippage.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026 based on the reported high temperature for Los Angeles from official meteorological records. The market settles YES if the highest temperature falls between 56-57°F inclusive, and NO otherwise.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.