Will the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on April 20, 2026 be between 58-59°F? Current prediction odds: 1% YES. Liquidity: $9,164.
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Los Angeles on April 20 will experience a specific high temperature that traders can verify through official weather data. The prediction market is asking whether this daily maximum will land in the narrow 58-59°F range, which represents relatively cool spring weather for the LA basin. Currently trading at just 1% odds, the market clearly indicates that traders view this outcome as highly unlikely based on current forecast models and seasonal patterns. The temperature range itself is narrow and specific, making the resolution straightforward and unambiguous—the National Weather Service maintains official weather station records, and this market resolves YES only if the recorded daily high falls precisely between 58-59°F (inclusive). Typically, April weather in Los Angeles sees highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, so a 58-59°F high would represent cooler-than-average conditions that might be driven by strong marine influence or an unusual weather pattern moving through Southern California. The 1% market odds suggest the consensus expectation is for a significantly warmer outcome. This daily temperature market closes and resolves based on official data at midnight UTC on April 20, 2026.
This market resolves based on the National Weather Service recorded high temperature for Los Angeles on April 20, 2026. It resolves YES if the daily high falls between 58-59°F (inclusive), otherwise NO.
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